BUS grant ASHP installs/month, boiler service+install ticket mix, F-Gas commercial AC contracts, first-time fix %, callback rate (<3%), MCS + RECC + Gas Safe accreditation depth.
A London HVAC firm (Gas Safe + F-Gas + MCS Air-Source-Heat-Pump certified) installing + servicing combi/system boilers (Worcester / Vaillant / Viessmann), ASHP retrofits under BUS £7,500 grant, mechanical ventilation with heat recovery (MVHR) and commercial split / VRF air-conditioning. The 2026 win is the BUS-grant ASHP retrofit market on the back of the 2035 gas-boiler ban.
A London HVAC firm in 2026 runs four engines: boiler installs (combi swap £2,400–£4,800 at 28–38% margin, 8–14/month per engineer), boiler service + repair (£90 service / £140–£640 repair at 56–66% margin, 18–32/month/engineer), ASHP retrofits (BUS-grant funded £7,500 + customer £6–£12k = £13–£20k ticket at 22–32% margin, 4–8/month) and commercial F-Gas split + VRF AC (install £4–£28k + monthly contracts £45–£280/site, 14–22 contract sites). Maths for 4-engineer team: 28 boiler swaps × £3.4k + 80 services × £140 + 6 ASHP × £15.5k + £8k commercial = £214k/month gross. ASHP retrofits are the brand spine — BUS grant + 2035 gas ban + landlord MEES (EPC C by 2028 commercial / 2030 residential) creates a 10-year tailwind, but only MCS-certified installers can claim the grant.
Sized for a 2–4 chair shop. Buy mid-range on chairs and clippers; cheap kit fails inside 12 months and walks away with your barbers.
Boiler-service annual cycle + ASHP retrofit pipeline.
ASHP cylinder + boiler floating stock = same-day install capability.
BUS-grant + whole-house deep-retrofit pipeline.
Daily £12.50 ULEZ avoided × 4 vans.
MEES upgrade deadline forces landlord retrofit work.
UK figures for 2026. Lead times assume you submit complete applications — councils will pause the clock if you miss documents.
Interactive projections rebuilt from real UK operating data — toggle the views to see ramp, mix and weekly load.
Source · NAVIZIX 2026 London Gas Safe + MCS HVAC cohort (n=16 firms, 2–8 engineers)
Soft open: 3 boiler services. £270 revenue.
First week: 14 services + 2 boiler swaps. £8.4k revenue.
Steady: 56 services, 8 swaps, 12 repairs. £42k revenue. MCS audit booked.
First ASHP install delivered (£15.5k). £88k/month gross.
Mature: £180k/month, 6 ASHP installs, 4 commercial F-Gas contracts. MCS + RECC live.
BUS grant ASHP installs/month, boiler service+install ticket mix, F-Gas commercial AC contracts, first-time fix %, callback rate (<3%), MCS + RECC + Gas Safe accreditation depth.
Get Gas Safe + F-Gas + MCS-certified + RECC member, train as ASHP designer (BPEC Level 3), partner with 4–6 architects + 3 retrofit-coordinators (PAS 2035) on Whole-House plans, target a BUS-grant ASHP ticket of £8k customer contribution + £7,500 grant = £15.5k revenue at 24% margin, layer commercial VRF maintenance contracts.
Boiler-service annual reminder DD, ASHP grant-paperwork workflow (RECC + MCS + Ofgem application), digital flue + commissioning certificate upload, F-Gas leak-test log auto-emailed, Stripe + DD billing, review request 24h.
Commusoft / Joblogic, MCS Installer Portal, Ofgem BUS Portal, Vaillant / Viessmann partner portal, Stripe + GoCardless DD, GBP, Xero.
ASHP installs/month, first-time fix % and commercial-MRR vs MCS London cohort.
Encore advisors ex-Gas Safe Register inspectors, ex-British Gas regional managers and MCS / RECC trainers.
Full workspace, every module. The hvac technician playbook loads on day one. Cancel anytime.